


The dichotomy between falling per capita and per worker burdens versus an increasing burden per $1,000 of personal income is not surprising. Personal income growth slowed sharply during the recent recession, causing cutbacks in consumer spending and other economic activities that generate state and local revenues. Absent any state action, state tax revenues would have actually declined significantly. But increases in tax rates drew a larger proportion of personal income, even though the stalled economy caused actual collections to barely increase.
Figure 2 shows that total state and local spending as a percent of personal income continues expanding to a new all-time high in California. By measuring spending against personal income, the figure is automatically adjusted for growth in the economy, inflation, and population. While some observers continue to claim that California government was at its zenith in the 1970s, these figures show that combined state and local spending, as a percent of personal income, has exceeded pre-Proposition 13 levels for several years now. In 1977-78, spending was 18.5% of personal income, and in 1991-92 it had reached 20.3%. In other words, state and local government is now a larger share of the state economy than at any other time. The long-term effects of Proposition 13 have mostly led to a change in the composition of revenues, not an ongoing reduction in revenues or spending.
Note from Figure 1 that a significant percentage of state and local revenues come from fees and assessments, which comprise 21% of the total tax and fee burden. Fees and assessments provide almost as much revenue as the property tax and more than any other tax, including the personal income tax or combined state and local sales taxes. Before Proposition 13, in 1977-78 fees and assessments were 13% of the total tax and fee burden. State and local fees have been the predominant focus of revenue increases in the wake of Proposition 13.
Last year, Cal-Tax introduced the per worker measurement of tax burden, because it is more directly related to the burden facing taxpaying individuals. Although the per worker measurement is not perfect, because some taxpayers do not work, such as retirees, it is a clearer measure than per capita measurements. One reason for this is that the demographics of a state like California lead to an artificially lower per capita tax burden compared against most states. This is because California's population base includes more children than many other states. The per worker measure corrects for the downward bias in the per capita figure by dividing tax collections by those who are working or trying to work in the state.
Some analysts prefer to measure taxes and spending per $1,000 of personal income, because incomes vary from state to state and those who make more money can afford to pay more in taxes. Per capita or per worker figures do not show how taxes relate to income.
One very important caution should be noted when comparing tax burden per $1,000 of personal income: this measure assumes that a dollar of income earned in California is worth as much as a dollar earned in any other state, which is a misleading assumption. Because of the high cost of living in California, higher incomes do not necessarily reflect an ability to pay greater taxes. In fact, the measurement of taxes and fees per $1,000 of personal income actually skews the rankings to place low-income states higher in the rankings, many of which are not considered high-tax states. Indeed, states generally accepted as high-tax rank well below California by this measure - Massachusetts is 37th, Illinois is 45th, and New Jersey is 27th.
One way to correct for the distortion in rankings per $1,000 of personal income would be to adjust income for cost of living. Cal-Tax is examining available data to see if this type of analysis can be done in the near future.
Per worker figures were calculated using 1992 annual average labor force from the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Personal income figures differ from prior reports in using fiscal year personal income as the basis for calculations. Prior reports used calendar year income, which did not match most state and local fiscal years, which run from July to June. Fiscal year personal incomes were calculated from data supplied by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
As in last year's report, Taxing and Spending does not include the District of Columbia in the tables or rankings.