Even
before the United States fell victim to a nationwide recession, battered state
and federal budgets, and the trauma of terrorism, America’s transportation
infrastructure was in trouble. A modern economy is a mobile economy, but our
mobility has been declining for years, because we did not invest in the right
transportation infrastructure to prevent a deterioration of our mobility. We
must do a better job of planning to accommodate our growth for the future.
So where do we turn? Where can
we find the transportation alternative
California, and indeed all
America, is looking for?
To plan for a better
future, imagine what California will look like in 2020, based on the best
official forecast available:
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California’s population will be between
45 million to 50 million, and that means a population increase equal to the
entire population of Florida or Texas.
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The major part of that growth will be in
California’s Central Valley.
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Intercity trips such as Los Angeles-San
Francisco or San Francisco-Fresno will more than double.
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In order for the state to retain its
vibrant economy and lifestyle, it must improve mobility.
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Intercity trips today must utilize
automobiles on our congested highways or airplanes from our congested
airports.
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Short-haul regional trips currently
utilize over one-third of San Francisco or Los Angeles airport capacity to
serve less than 5 percent of the passengers.
These factors clearly demonstrate that for
the state to retain its economic, cultural and social viability, it must find
an economically efficient and environmentally friendly transportation network
to accommodate the expected growth in intercity travel. The
glaring contemporary need in California’s transportation system is a fast,
reliable, cost-effective way to move people between California’s major cities
in a business day. The solution is
the construction of a state-of-the-art, high-speed train system that can
compete with air and auto, a train going over 200 miles per hour and cutting
the San Francisco-Los Angeles travel time to 2 ˝ hours.
The California High-Speed Rail
Authority is developing the framework not only for a pioneering transportation
system in America but also for a whole new form of travel. The high-speed
trains it is planning certainly will have as much of an impact on California,
its economy and its culture as the decisions a generation ago to build the
state's freeway system or the state water project.
High-speed train service will
whisk passengers from the Sacramento to
Southern California in 2 hours and 10 minutes at speeds exceeding 200 miles
per hour along a 700-mile route.
The big question facing
policy-makers is whether they will take high-speed train service seriously and
whether they will continue to provide the financing necessary to plan the
system. SB1856, authored by Senator Jim Costa, is a bold and timely commitment
to a new vision that must be approved if we are to break the jam-up in
California’s transportation system.
Over the next 20 years,
California will remain the largest state in the union. We will have more
people, cars, highways, airports and airplanes. We also will have more
crowding, congestion, noise and other side effects of our current system. We
will be able to relieve congestion in some areas, mitigate it in others,
powerless to prevent it in others.
During the next two decades,
based on current plans and taxes, California will spend more than $200 billion
in public funds on transportation, including freeways, airports and mass
transit in an effort to deal with the population growth and resulting
congestion. The private sector will spend many times that amount on planes,
trains and automobiles. The $6 billion bond proposal by Senator Costa is a
small fraction of our total public outlay for transportation.
But freeway and airport
expansion cannot be expected to adequately absorb over 12 million new
residents if Californians wish to reduce air pollution, minimize sprawl and
maintain a high quality of life for the next generation.
Consider that by 2020, the
population boom will raise the number of long-distance trips within California
to 215 million annually. Without high-speed trains, over 30 million of those
would be handled by airlines and about 185 million by cars. Not only is it
easy to envision more pollution and road congestion, but it is also likely
that the airlines and airports will not have the capacity to manage such a
sizeable market increase –
even if proposed airport expansions succeed.
However, by offering
downtown-to-downtown service, unparalleled comfort and reliability, and
virtually no smog emissions, high-speed trains would move an estimated 42
million passengers per year, reducing the projected amount of airplane and
auto long-distance intrastate trips in 2020.
With such dramatic impacts on
the horizon, the California High-Speed Rail Authority believes that after
reviewing the impacts on the state's economy, transportation system, and way
of life, Californians will agree that the authority's proposed high-speed
train system is a cost-competitive alternative to more-of-the-same gridlock.
We encourage the public to join our efforts so the authority can formulate the
best high-speed train system possible for California.