Public Opinion:
Few Californians Support Higher Taxes, Poll Shows

Just 28 percent of California voters believe the state should raise taxes again to address the budget problem, according to a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey. A separate poll released by the Public Policy Institute of California had conflicting results, and indicated that 41 percent of Californians favor a mix of spending cuts and tax increases, while 37 percent favor mostly spending cuts and just 9 percent favor mostly tax increases.

The Rasmussen poll found that 43 percent prefer cutting back on state services, 15 percent favor state bankruptcy, and 14 percent are not sure. (Cal-Tax: Bankruptcy is not a legal option for the state, but the public's support for this option is interesting nonetheless.)

The results show a major change since last January, when Rasmussen found that voters were evenly divided on whether taxes should be raised or spending should be cut (with each option getting the support of 45 percent of the respondents). The results may reflect public awareness that in February, taxes indeed were increased to address the budget problem.

In addition to the general question about whether the budget should include tax increases, registered voters were asked whether they would support tax hikes to support specific areas of state spending. The results of these questions and others:

·         63 percent prefer cutting the pay of state workers by 14 percent rather than raising taxes.

·         In the only question where a majority of respondents supported a tax increase, 52 percent favored raising taxes rather than eliminating the state's main welfare system and cutting back on health services for the disabled and the elderly.

·         59 percent agree with the governor's proposal to raise revenue by allowing offshore oil drilling.

·         42 percent believe the federal government should provide bailout money to California, while 36 percent disagree and 22 percent are not sure.

The PPIC poll, released January 28, found that most Californians support higher taxes for K-12 education (66 percent), higher education (50 percent) and health and human services (50 percent). However, support for taxes declines (to 62 percent, 46 percent and 45 percent, respectively) when only likely voters are polled. The poll also found that only 11 percent of the respondents would be willing to pay higher taxes to fund prisons.

Respondents polled by PPIC did not know how the state spends its money. For example, 80 percent of likely voters did not know that K-12 education accounted for California's largest spending area. Instead, these respondents said they believed the state spent the most money on prisons and corrections.

The PPIC poll also found that Californians are tired of gimmicks and borrowing, and that they want a balanced budget. A total of 98 percent of likely voters believe it is not "okay to borrow money and run a deficit" to solve the state's budget problems.

In response to the PPIC poll, Joel Fox, president of the Small Business Action Committee and editor of the Fox & Hounds Daily blog, said: "If people think education is shortchanged by the budget, then it is not surprising that they tell the pollster they support a tax for education. If the voters knew that education far outstrips the other services funded by the state, the poll results on taxes for schools undoubtedly would not be the same, especially in this difficult economy." (Sources: Rasmussen Reports, January 23; Public Policy Institute of California poll, January 28.)

Cal-TaxReports, February 1, 2010

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